The state of the Russian army, its offensive potential and irreversible degradation was told by the military-political commentator of the Information Resistance group. Oleksandr Kovalenko.
In the current technical state, Russia will not be able to carry out large-scale offensive and invasive operations. The Russian Federation has not only exhausted its initial potential, but is also at the stage of irreversible degradation.
A few examples to prove your words. Although there are actually many more examples.
The first example – battles near Bakhmut, Avdiivka, reflection at Ugledar and Bilogoritsa. Someone can counter me with the fact that this is an attack and nothing else, to which I will ask in response - and what is the result of this attack?
Near Vugledar, in the area of small Pavlivka, the Russians concentrated 5 BTG (combat tactical groups) — and nothing. Bakhmut and Avdiivka have been under enemy pressure for more than 4 months, and what is the result? Were you able to occupy?
Meanwhile, during these 4 months, what happened in the war zone? More than 8500 square kilometers of Kharkiv Region were deoccupied. Hundreds of square kilometers of the Kherson region and another 6 square kilometers of the right bank will be freed in the near future.
That is, the Armed Forces liberated and will liberate more than 14,5 square kilometers in the near future, while the Russians are fighting for Bakhmut for the fourth month and reflecting on Avdiivka.
The second example - artillery. Without artillery, they are unable to advance or defend themselves.
At the time of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia had, according to various estimates, 15 to 20 million rounds of ammunition in warehouses and storage facilities. It was by June that the warehouses with the near shoulder of the pickup in the Belgorod, Kursk, Rostov, and Voronezh regions were exhausted. Currently, they perform a transit function. And like a snowball goes the accumulation of the ammunition crisis.
In the offensive and defense, the Russian troops always use the "fire shaft" tactic.
In order to carry out an effective offensive in Ukraine, the occupiers need a potential of 50 to 70 shots per day.
In order to carry out effective defense, this indicator is an average of 30 - 40 shots per day.
Currently, they provide the possibility of 20 shots per day. That is, they do not have the potential to carry out an effective attack and defense.
In addition, in the warehouses themselves, according to various estimates, the Russians have from 7 to 10 million shots left, 50% of which are unusable due to unsatisfactory storage conditions, and the usable part is in other warehouses and storage centers, from where transportation is logistically hellish.
Yes, Russia is currently supported by Belarus, Iran, and even North Korea, but this support will not solve the problems in the war zone. This support will only continue Russia's convulsions.
And Russia only hopes for the Armed Forces. Hope that the Armed Forces will stop her convulsions.
