Information periodically appears in the mass media that Ukraine's partners are running out of ammunition that they can supply to the Armed Forces.
The military-political observer of the Information Resistance group spoke about the state of supplies and provision of weapons to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Oleksandr Kovalenko.
The recent USAI aid package to Ukraine, in its open part, put all the dots above the "i" in this matter. We are talking about an aid package from the United States in the amount of $1,85 billion.
Everyone paid attention exclusively to the transfer of the Patriot air defense system to Ukraine, but let's analyze the second part of the aid package in the amount of $850 million:
- 45 thousand 152mm artillery shells
- 20 thousand 122mm artillery shells
- 50 122-mm rockets for BM-21 "Grad" systems
- 100 125-mm tank ammunition
First of all, I would like to note that the Armed Forces currently use combined samples of NATO-caliber and post-Soviet artillery. That is, we need both Soviet-style and Western-style ammunition, not in a proportional amount, but in sufficient quantity.
Secondly, let me remind you that in February-March-April the artillery of the ROV (Russian occupation forces) fired an average of over 70 shots per day. Currently, their average rate is 20 shots per day, which indicates the depletion of BC reserves and the inevitable approach of projectile starvation.
In turn, the Armed Forces have an average daily rate of 4-5 shots, with peak rates of 7 or more. But, in general, the BC shooting rate is stable and differs only in the intensity and concentration of artillery in one or another location.
Now let's look at the US aid package from a different angle.
In total, 115 projectiles for barrel and rocket artillery will be transferred to us from the USA, which will allow firing for 000 days for 5 shots per day.
But, let me remind you that firing tasks in the DB zone are performed not only by the Soviet model of artillery, but also by NATO. That is, roughly speaking, this ammunition is enough to meet the needs of artillery for more than 23 days. For example, conditionally for a month.
Next, 100 125-mm tank ammunition. Is it a lot or a little? Let's answer this question based on the indicator of the average resource of the 125-mm barrel 2A26-2A46 - 600 shots. That is, this amount of weapons will allow 165 tanks to fire 600 shots.
Here I want to make a remark and note that in the conditions of a full-scale war with a high intensity of hostilities, a rare tank barrel manages, for completely objective reasons, to produce an average resource of shots.
So what do we have? And we have the provision of Ukraine, only from the USA, in fact for a month, and possibly more, with ammunition for a stable and intensive fire suppression of the Russian invaders, both with artillery and other means of defeat.
The periodicity of allocation of aid packages is on average 2 weeks. That is, in 2 weeks we will see a new nomenclature of support, which will also include certain types of ammunition, both post-Soviet and NATO calibers.
The main conclusion from all of the above is that support to Ukraine was carried out at a stable level throughout the year, in percentage terms with an obvious growth and expansion of the range of supplies. At the same time, the average number of shots fired by ROV artillery is falling.
Thus, it is not decreasing, but it is obvious that the potential of the fire superiority of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is gradually increasing, which is in stark contrast to the decreasing potential of the ROVs, which, even before that, barely held back the onslaught of Ukrainian counterattacks, and in the period of projectile starvation... Well, you understand.
